BTC Approaching Next Significant Break

After trading above the $3,700 level, bitcoin price faced renewed selling pressure against the US Dollar. More importantly, Ethereum’s bearish reaction sparked a downward move below $3,650 in the BTC/USD pair. It declined below the $3,620 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3,376 low to $3,716 high. The price even traded below the $3,600 support, but the $3,560 pivot acted as a solid support.

Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3,376 low to $3,716 high also acted as a support. At the outset, the price is currently holding the $3,560 support, with range moves. It seems like there is a short term contracting triangle formed with resistance at $3,625 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Should there be an upside break above the $3,650 resistance, the price may climb towards the $3,700 and $3,750 levels. On the other hand, a downside break below $3,560 and $3,540 might trigger bearish moves. The next key supports are near $3,500 and $3,455.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is clearly consolidating and preparing for the next move either above $3,650 or below $3,540. The current price action is positive, but a convincing break above $3,650 is must for a decent upward move. If not, it could drop to $3,500 or $3,455.

Technical indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is about to move back in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD recovered nicely and it may soon break the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $3,540

Major Resistance Level – $3,650


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